Poly AI Dashboard

♦ Polymarket AI Dashboard

Last update: 2026-08-04T00:22:00

Market Regime

NEUTRAL

Sentiment

0.00

Scale -1.0 to +1.0

Events Analyzed

Avg score: 4.2/10

Prices Collected

20880

Last: 2026-08-04T03:29:01

Key Macro Insight L3 MACRO

No dominant category or high-score events detected, indicating a lack of clear market direction.

▶ Category & Strategy Breakdown

Categories L2

None10

Strategies L2

WATCH5

FADE3

MOMENTUM2

AI Bias L2

FAIR5

BEARISH3

BULLISH2

▶ Live Anomaly Scanner L1 — 30min

Latest anomalies (33 detected)

♦ Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? (Yes) @ 0.0190 [WIDE_GAP_0.9980 | EXTREME_LOW]

♦ Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? (No) @ 0.9810 [EXTREME_HIGH]

♦ Will the Democratic Party win the TX-34 House seat? (No) @ 0.2600 [WIDE_GAP_0.9800]

♦ Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election? (Yes) @ 0.3160 [WIDE_GAP_0.9980]

♦ Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? (Yes) @ 0.0750 [WIDE_GAP_0.9800]

♦ Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? (Yes) @ 0.1550 [WIDE_SPREAD_9% | WIDE_GAP_0.9800]

♦ Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? (No) @ 0.8450 [WIDE_SPREAD_9%]

♦ Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%? (Yes) @ 0.0920 [WIDE_GAP_0.9980]

♦ Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? (No) @ 0.1350 [WIDE_GAP_0.9800]

♦ Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? (No) @ 0.0625 [WIDE_GAP_0.9980]

♦ Makina FDV above $200M one day after launch? (Yes) @ 0.0790 [WIDE_GAP_0.9980]

♦ Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? (Yes) @ 0.0550 [WIDE_GAP_0.9800]

▶ Event Deep-Dive L2 — 60min

[8/10] MOMENTUM BULLISH
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
This market predicts a 14-day pause in US military action against Iran by specific dates,

[8/10] MOMENTUM BULLISH
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
This market predicts the 2028 Republican presidential nominee, with J.D. Vance as the fron

[7/10] FADE BEARISH
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?
This market predicts whether Strait of Hormuz ship traffic will return to a 7-day moving a

[7/10] FADE BEARISH
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
This market predicts whether the US will invade Iran before 2027, currently priced at 0.21

[6/10] FADE BEARISH
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
This market resolves to the winner of an MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Arizona

[2/10] WATCH FAIR
What price will Bitcoin hit in August?
This market predicts whether Bitcoin will reach various high price targets in August 2026,

[1/10] WATCH FAIR
Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
This market resolves to the winner of a Dota 2 match between OG and GamerLegion, which app

[1/10] WATCH FAIR
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
This market tracks whether the Israel-Iran ceasefire continues through specific dates, wit

[1/10] WATCH FAIR
Bitcoin above ___ on August 4?
This market predicts whether Bitcoin's price will be above specific thresholds on August 4

[1/10] WATCH FAIR
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies
This market resolves to the winner of an MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Phi

▶ Themes & Watchlist

Emerging Themes L3

Watchlist L3

▶ Learning Engine L4 — 6h

Prediction Tracking

Predictions tracked4

Best strategy?

Model confidence?%

Price Collector Health

Rows collected20880

Unique tokens56

Latest update2026-08-04T03:29:01

Avg midpoint0.5000

Collecting 20 markets x 2 tokens every 60m via CLOB L2 API

▶ Event Sniper Resolution Trading — $100/position

Paper P&L

+$0.00

Resolved P&L

Total (incl. MTM)

+$0.00

Unrealized: $0.00

Otevřené pozice

Max 6 současně

Celkem obchodů

Resolution trading

Win Rate

0W/0L

Open Positions

Xi Jinping out before 2027? NO @ 0.947
Conf: 94.7% | 105 shares | APR: 12.1% | 171 dní
Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Putin out as President of Russ NO @ 0.915
Conf: 91.5% | 109 shares | APR: 19.7% | 172 dní
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Will France win the 2026 FIFA NO @ 0.956
Conf: 95.5% | 104 shares | APR: 340.0% | 5 dní
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will Argentina win the 2026 FI NO @ 0.907
Conf: 90.7% | 110 shares | APR: 935.6% | 4 dní
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will England win the 2026 FIFA NO @ 1.000
Conf: 100.0% | 100 shares | APR: 4.6% | 4 dní
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA W YES @ 0.948
Conf: 94.8% | 105 shares | APR: 2022.4% | 0 dní
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Closed History

Žádné uzavřené pozice. Pozice se uzavřou při resolvu trhu.

▶ Kelly Basket Deep OTM — $5/bet

Paper P&L

+$0.00

Half-Kelly, $5/bet

Bankroll

$100.00

Start: $100

Otevřené pozice

Max 10

Win Rate

0W/0L

Open Positions

Trh	Kat	Side	Entry	Shr	Payout	$	Kelly%
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Politics	YES	0.0205	243	48x	$4.98	12.5
Will Alberta join the US?	Politics	YES	0.0270	185	37x	$5.00	12.5
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?	Politics	YES	0.0275	181	36x	$4.98	12.5
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Politics	YES	0.0365	136	27x	$4.96	12.5
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Politics	YES	0.0425	117	23x	$4.97	12.5
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Politics	YES	0.0425	117	23x	$4.97	12.5
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Politics	YES	0.0490	102	20x	$5.00	12.5
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Politics	YES	0.0590	84	16x	$4.96	12.5
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Politics	YES	0.0650	76	15x	$4.94	12.5
Trump out as President before 2027?	Politics	YES	0.0750	66	13x	$4.95	12.5

Resolved History

Žádné uzavřené pozice. Pozice se uzavřou při resolvu trhu.

▶ 5m UpDown Monitor BTC/ETH/SOL/XRP

BTC

No data

Active Markets (0 markets)

No data

▶ AI Learning L4 — 6h

Prediction Tracking

Sledovaných predikcí4

Nejlepší strategie?

Důvěra v model?%

Paper Trade Feedback Loop

AI se začne učit až po prvních uzavřených paper obchodech. Sleduje win rate, P&L, kalibraci confidence.

▶ System Status

L1 Scanner

ACTIVE

scanner_l1.py

L2 DeepDive

ACTIVE

deepdive_l2.py

L3 Macro

ACTIVE

sentinel_l3.py

L4 Learner

ACTIVE

learner.py

Price Coll.

ACTIVE

live_collector.py

Server

ACTIVE

serve_dashboard.py

Poly AI Stack — L1 Scanner (30m) | L2 DeepDive (60m) | L3 Macro (60m) | L4 Learner (6h) | Price Collector (60m)